But what makes the discussions of Israel-Palestine (at least
the ones that occur in the public consciousness) most difficult is that they co-occur
with outbreaks of armed conflict in the area, conflicts which have muddled and
confusing beginnings. This latest outbreak of real violence, for example, was
an Israeli air-strike that killed an important Hamas military leader. But that,
of course, was preceded by an increasing number of Hamas-coordinated rocket
strikes into Israeli territory. But that, of course, was preceded by a series
of evictions and embargoes enacted by the Israeli government against the
Palestinian community. And before that was the 2008 military strike made by
Israel in response to, again, an increasing number of Hamas’ rockets fluttering
into Israeli farmland.
Discussions that occur during the periods of greatest
tension never seem to be fruitful. After World War I, Vengeful French and
British leaders punished Germany with the most devastating reparation demands
in history, crippling a stable and otherwise peaceable (at least as peaceable
as the Entente had been) regime enough to pave the way for the rise of Nazism. After
the United States’ Civil War, Lincoln’s more-forgiving, moderate reconstruction
plan was scrapped in favor of a degrading and punitive peace plan proposed by Congressional
extremists, which left the southern United States in a state of corrupt,
segregated disarray for nearly the next century.
In this case, armed conflict breaks out, a tense ceasefire
is reached and overall peace talks between the two sides continue.
That is, they continue to stall. And beneath the surface, rage
boils.
And, for some reason, most of the major players seem to be
alright with that. The U.S., the U.N., NATO, Russia, China are all content to
sit back and watch the status quo unfold before them, only stepping in with
superficial cries for peace when it appears that World War III might erupt.
They must be happy with themselves because there have yet to
be any glass deserts.
Of course, the status quo is not nearly good enough. Sure,
were some world war-esque conflict break out region, the United States would have
a formidable Israeli army on their side. And the flow of Middle Eastern oil to
industrial nations hasn’t been slowed at all. Of course, Israelis continue to
live in fear of explosives falling in their backyards. So do, for that matter,
Palestinians, that is if the Israeli government lets them have enough territory
to have backyards. And everyone lives in fear of a worldwide war breaking out
because some Austrian Archduke got assassinated on a trip through Serbia.
It is possible that the status quo changes, it just takes
monumental patience and an inhuman amount of reasonable level-headedness.
Imagine if the Mahmoud Abbas-led Palestine Authority has
its status upgraded from “entity” to “observer state” by the United Nations.
Then the plan of the Fatah party, one which relies (at least a little bit more)
on diplomacy rather than Hamas’ terrorism, suddenly becomes legitimate. If
Israel hopes to show faith in peaceable negotiations, why would they oppose
such a measure? Why, for that matter, would the United States? Unless a
Palestinian state just has no right to exist.
My personal fear is that Palestine becomes another Armenia,
whose strangled cries for help during the last decades of the 19th
century were audible, but well hidden from view. I think it’s unquestionable
that Israel is the bully in this scenario (although their bullying is sometimes
justified). They’ve already begun bullying Palestine out of existence. Of
course, that would be a simple solution to this conflict, wouldn’t it? Just let
this play out. Place the pillow firmly on the victim’s mouth and nose and wait
for the breathing to stop. There is no Israel-Palestine conflict if Palestine
doesn’t exist.
We could stop it. We could change it. But it’s a bit of an inconvenience.
Unfortunately, war will start sooner rather than later.
There are, by the way, less than six weeks left before the supposed end of the
world on December 21st. Israel inevitably launches a ground offensive into
Gaza. Maybe they decide to root out the Hamas supply line in the Sinai Peninsula.
Maybe they decide that if they are invading one country, they might as well invade
another and carry out a few “pre-emptive” strikes against Iranian nuclear
stockpiles. Then what? In the face of greater conflict, the U.S. or Russia
intervenes? The “Glass Desert” strategy turns out to be a miscalculation and a
nuclear winter envelops the globe, suffocating human civilization? Sounds
pretty easy to me…
Start the countdown.
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